whatis ai - Removed Predictions

Removed Predictions

This page tracks predictions that were removed from the main tracker due to source verification failures. We maintain this history for transparency and to document what was removed and why.

Removal Policy

Predictions are removed when:

  • Source URL returns 404 (deleted)
  • Source URL returns 401/403 (private/restricted)
  • Source platform deletes content
  • Source cannot be independently verified

We keep the full prediction text and raw quotes here for reference, but do not include them in the main tracker or accuracy scoring.


2026-02-07: OpenAI Video Unavailable (3 predictions)

Source: YouTube video ngDCxlZcecw (OpenAI)
Status: Private/Unlisted (HTTP 401)
Reason: Video exists but is no longer publicly accessible

Prediction #25: Jakub Pachocki

Prediction:
Deep learning systems capable of superintelligence (systems smarter than all humans on a large number of critical axes) are less than a decade away.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=ngDCxlZcecw&t=263s

Raw Quote:
I think we’re still probably a handful of years away… I would say probably like 3 to 5 years away…


Prediction #26: Jakub Pachocki

Prediction:
AI research interns capable of meaningfully accelerating OpenAI researchers by expanding a significant amount of compute will be achieved by September of next year.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=ngDCxlZcecw&t=462s

Raw Quote:
(Raw quote stored in database but not displayed here for brevity)


Prediction #27: Sam Altman

Prediction:
By September of next year, OpenAI expects to have an intern-level AI research assistant, and by March 2028 (almost 5 years after GPT-4 launch), a legitimate AI researcher.

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=ngDCxlZcecw&t=878s

Raw Quote:
(Raw quote stored in database but not displayed here for brevity)


Archive Format

All removed predictions are stored in data/predictions_removed.json with:

  • Full prediction text
  • Complete raw quote
  • Source URL
  • Person attribution
  • Removal date
  • Removal reason

This allows future recovery if sources become available again, or for historical research purposes.


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